Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 25% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Double chance1274.9%1.34
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.90 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapHeerenveen winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Heerenveen win32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp
Draw25%4.003.8025%0.0 pp
FC Twente win43%2.332.2043.2%-0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 50%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%
Away share of expected goals 50%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchHeerenveen
WLDWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFC Twente
LWWWL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
32%
Win probability excluding draw
43%10
Points from supplied form
91.45
Expected goals
1.45HeerenveenFC Twente
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Heerenveen vs FC Twente FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Heerenveen win 32%，Draw 25%，FC Twente win 43%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over。