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NLD Paesi Bassi - Eredivisie · Partita ·

Heerenveen vs Twente

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.90 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa32%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite43%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite43% selection probability
Projected score1–1HeerenveenTwente
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra55% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
32% / 25% / 43%Esito partitaVittoria ospite43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Doppia Chance1274.9%1.34
Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%Goals 2.5Sopra55%1.82
Sì 59% · No 41%Entrambe le squadre segnano59%1.69
2.90 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapHeerenveen winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Heerenveen win32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.8025%0.0 pp
Twente win43%2.332.2043.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Heerenveen1.45

Casa share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%

Twente1.45

Trasferta share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Heerenveen

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Twente

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Vinta probability excluding draw
43%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.45
Expected goals
1.45
HeerenveenTwente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Heerenveen signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Twente signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Heerenveen vs Twente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Heerenveen vinta 32%,Pareggio 25%,Twente vinta 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Sopra 2.5 55% · Current selection Sopra