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NLD Pays-Bas - Eredivisie · Match ·

Heerenveen vs FC Twente

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.90 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile32%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur43%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur43% selection probability
Projected score1–1HeerenveenFC Twente
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
32% / 25% / 43%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Double chance1274.9%1.34
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 59% · Non 41%Les deux équipes marquentOui59%1.69
2.90 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.1%Largest probability gapHeerenveen winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Heerenveen win32%3.133.0031.7%+0.3 pp
Nul25%4.003.8025%0.0 pp
FC Twente win43%2.332.2043.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Heerenveen1.45

Domicile share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%

FC Twente1.45

Extérieur share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 59% · Non 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Heerenveen

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FC Twente

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gagné probability excluding draw
43%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.45
Expected goals
1.45
HeerenveenFC Twente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Heerenveen signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Twente signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Heerenveen vs FC Twente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Heerenveen victoire 32%,Nul 25%,FC Twente victoire 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de