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NLD Pays-Bas - Eredivisie · Match ·

AZ vs ADO Den Haag

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.12 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile64%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur15%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 64% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile64% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZADO Den Haag
Expected goals3.12Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
64% / 21% / 15%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ADO Den Haag win (14.7%)Double chance1X85.3%1.17
Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%Goals 2.5Plus de60%1.67
Oui 60% · Non 40%Les deux équipes marquentOui60%1.67
3.12 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AZ win64%1.561.4465.5%
Nul21%4.764.5021%
ADO Den Haag win15%6.677.0013.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ2.04

Domicile share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals3.12Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%

ADO Den Haag1.08

Extérieur share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 60% · Non 40%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

AZ

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

ADO Den Haag

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Gagné probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
10
2.04
Expected goals
1.08
AZADO Den Haag
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ADO Den Haag signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

AZ vs ADO Den Haag FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ victoire 64%,Nul 21%,ADO Den Haag victoire 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Plus de 2.5 60% · Current selection Plus de