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NLD Paesi Bassi - Eredivisie · Partita ·

AZ vs ADO Den Haag

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.07 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa47%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite29%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 47% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa47% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZADO Den Haag
Expected goals3.07Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra59% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
47% / 23% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.5%)Doppia Chance1276.5%1.31
Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%Goals 2.5Sopra59%1.69
Sì 61% · No 39%Entrambe le squadre segnano61%1.64
3.07 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
AZ win47%2.13
Pareggio23%4.35
ADO Den Haag win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ1.74

Casa share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals3.07Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%

ADO Den Haag1.33

Trasferta share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

AZ

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punti7

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

ADO Den Haag

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.74
Expected goals
1.33
AZADO Den Haag
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ADO Den Haag signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

AZ vs ADO Den Haag FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ vinta 47%,Pareggio 23%,ADO Den Haag vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Sopra 2.5 59% · Current selection Sopra