Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 23% / 29%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.5%)Double chance1276.5%1.31
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.07 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
AZ win47%2.13
Draw23%4.35
ADO Den Haag win29%3.45
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 56.7%
Total expected goals3.07Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%
Away share of expected goals 43.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAZ
WDDDD
Played5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchADO Den Haag
DWWWL
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Win probability excluding draw
29%7
Points from supplied form
101.74
Expected goals
1.33AZADO Den Haag
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
AZ vs ADO Den Haag FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
AZ win 47%，Draw 23%，ADO Den Haag win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.07 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over。