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NLD Países Baixos - Eredivisie · Partida ·

AZ vs ADO Den Haag

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa64%
Empate21%
Vitória visitante15%
Market-based forecastVitória da casaTier B · 64% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa64% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZADO Den Haag
Expected goals3.11Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima60% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
64% / 21% / 15%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ADO Den Haag win (14.6%)Dupla Chance1X85.4%1.17
Acima 60% · Abaixo 40%Goals 2.5Acima60%1.67
Sim 60% · Não 40%Ambas as equipes marcamSim60%1.67
3.11 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNenhum
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AZ win64%1.561.4265.9%
Empate21%4.764.5020.8%
ADO Den Haag win15%6.677.0013.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ2.04

Mandante share of expected goals 65.6%

Total expected goals3.11Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 60% · Abaixo 40%

ADO Den Haag1.07

Visitante share of expected goals 34.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 60% · Não 40%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

AZ

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Pontos7

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

ADO Den Haag

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
10
2.04
Expected goals
1.07
AZADO Den Haag
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ADO Den Haag signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

AZ vs ADO Den Haag FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ ganhou 64%,Empate 21%,ADO Den Haag ganhou 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Acima 2.5 60% · Current selection Acima