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NLD Nederlandene - Eredivisie · Kamp ·

AZ vs ADO Den Haag

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.07 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr47%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr29%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 47% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr47% selection probability
Projected score2–1AZADO Den Haag
Expected goals3.07Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
47% / 23% / 29%KampresultatHjemmesejr47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.5%)Dobbeltchance1276.5%1.31
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Begge hold scorerJa61%1.64
3.07 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
AZ win47%2.13
Uafgjort23%4.35
ADO Den Haag win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ1.74

Hjemme share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals3.07Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

ADO Den Haag1.33

Ude share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

AZ

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Point7

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

ADO Den Haag

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vundet probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.74
Expected goals
1.33
AZADO Den Haag
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ADO Den Haag signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

AZ vs ADO Den Haag FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ vundet 47%,Uafgjort 23%,ADO Den Haag vundet 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over