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NLD Nederlandene - Eredivisie · Kamp ·

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr24%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr49%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr49% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
24% / 26% / 49%KampresultatUdesejr49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Rotterdam win (24.1%)DobbeltchanceX275.9%1.32
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Begge hold scorerJa55%1.82
2.93 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sparta Rotterdam win24%4.17
Uafgjort26%3.85
Feyenoord win49%2.04

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sparta Rotterdam1.03

Hjemme share of expected goals 35.2%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Feyenoord1.90

Ude share of expected goals 64.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sparta Rotterdam

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Feyenoord

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalUde unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Vundet probability excluding draw
49%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.03
Expected goals
1.90
Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sparta Rotterdam signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Feyenoord signalUde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sparta Rotterdam vundet 24%,Uafgjort 26%,Feyenoord vundet 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over