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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eredivisie · Wedstrijd ·

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst24%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst49%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst49% selection probability
Projected score1–2Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
24% / 26% / 49%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Rotterdam win (24.1%)Dubbele KansX275.9%1.32
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.93 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
10.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Sparta Rotterdam win24%4.17
Gelijkspel26%3.85
Feyenoord win49%2.04

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sparta Rotterdam1.03

Thuis share of expected goals 35.2%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Feyenoord1.90

Uit share of expected goals 64.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sparta Rotterdam

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Feyenoord

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
49%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.03
Expected goals
1.90
Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sparta Rotterdam signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Feyenoord signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sparta Rotterdam gewonnen 24%,Gelijkspel 26%,Feyenoord gewonnen 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven