Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
74% / 15% / 11%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Sittard win (11.1%)Dubbele Kans1X88.9%1.12
Boven 88% · Onder 12%Goals 2.5Boven88%1.14
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
5.06 total expected goalsExacte score4–1——
11.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
PSV win74%1.35
Gelijkspel15%6.67
Fortuna Sittard win11%9.09
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 78.7%
Total expected goals5.06Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 88% · Onder 12%
Uit share of expected goals 21.3%
Projected score4–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchPSV
WLDWW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10
SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchFortuna Sittard
WLLWL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
74%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
11%10
Points from supplied form
63.98
Expected goals
1.08PSVFortuna Sittard
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 15%.
Match questions
PSV vs Fortuna Sittard FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
PSV gewonnen 74%，Gelijkspel 15%，Fortuna Sittard gewonnen 11%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 5.06 · Boven 2.5 88% · Current selection Boven。