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NLD Holandsko - Eredivisie · Zápas ·

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score4–15.06 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich74%
Remíza15%
Výhra hostí11%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich74% selection probability
Projected score4–1PSVFortuna Sittard
Expected goals5.06Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac88% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
74% / 15% / 11%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Sittard win (11.1%)Dvojitá šanca1X88.9%1.12
Viac 88% · Menej 12%Goals 2.5Viac88%1.14
Áno 65% · Nie 35%Oba tímy skórujúÁno65%1.54
5.06 total expected goalsPresné skóre4–1
11.3 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
PSV win74%1.35
Remíza15%6.67
Fortuna Sittard win11%9.09

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSV3.98

Domáci share of expected goals 78.7%

Total expected goals5.06Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 88% · Menej 12%

Fortuna Sittard1.08

Hostia share of expected goals 21.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitÁno 65% · Nie 35%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Fortuna Sittard

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Výhra probability excluding draw
11%
10
Points from supplied form
6
3.98
Expected goals
1.08
PSVFortuna Sittard
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSV signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Sittard signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSV výhra 74%,Remíza 15%,Fortuna Sittard výhra 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.06 · Viac 2.5 88% · Current selection Viac