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PSV vs フォルトゥナ・シッタート

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score4–15.06 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利74%
引き分け15%
アウェイ勝利11%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利74% selection probability
Projected score4–1PSVフォルトゥナ・シッタート
Expected goals5.06始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー88% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
74% / 15% / 11%試合結果ホーム勝利74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes フォルトゥナ・シッタート win (11.1%)ダブルチャンス1X88.9%1.12
オーバー 88% · アンダー 12%Goals 2.5オーバー88%1.14
はい 65% · いいえ 35%両チーム得点はい65%1.54
5.06 total expected goals正確なスコア4–1
11.3 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
PSV win74%1.35
引き分け15%6.67
フォルトゥナ・シッタート win11%9.09

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSV3.98

ホーム share of expected goals 78.7%

Total expected goals5.06始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 88% · アンダー 12%

フォルトゥナ・シッタート1.08

アウェイ share of expected goals 21.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitはい 65% · いいえ 35%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

フォルトゥナ・シッタート

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
勝ち probability excluding draw
11%
10
Points from supplied form
6
3.98
Expected goals
1.08
PSVフォルトゥナ・シッタート
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSV signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02フォルトゥナ・シッタート signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

PSV vs フォルトゥナ・シッタート FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSV 勝ち 74%,引き分け 15%,フォルトゥナ・シッタート 勝ち 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.06 · オーバー 2.5 88% · Current selection オーバー