Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
74% / 15% / 11%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Sittard win (11.1%)Double chance1X88.9%1.12
Plus de 88% · Moins de 12%Goals 2.5Plus de88%1.14
Oui 65% · Non 35%Les deux équipes marquentOui65%1.54
5.06 total expected goalsScore exact4–1——
11.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
PSV win74%1.35
Nul15%6.67
Fortuna Sittard win11%9.09
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 78.7%
Total expected goals5.06Ouverture
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 88% · Moins de 12%
Extérieur share of expected goals 21.3%
Projected score4–1BTTS splitOui 65% · Non 35%Match profileOuverture
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchPSV
WLDWW
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchFortuna Sittard
WLLWL
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
74%
Gagné probability excluding draw
11%10
Points from supplied form
63.98
Expected goals
1.08PSVFortuna Sittard
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 15%.
Match questions
PSV vs Fortuna Sittard FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
PSV victoire 74%，Nul 15%，Fortuna Sittard victoire 11%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 5.06 · Plus de 2.5 88% · Current selection Plus de。