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NLD Nederländerna - Eredivisie · Match ·

Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.07 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger47%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger30%
Baseline forecastHemmasegerTier C · 47% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Go Ahead EaglesWillem II
Expected goals3.07Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över59% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
47% / 23% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.5%)Dubbelchans1276.5%1.31
Över 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Över59%1.69
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Båda lagen gör målJa61%1.64
3.07 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Go Ahead Eagles win47%2.13
Oavgjort23%4.35
Willem II win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Go Ahead Eagles1.73

Hemma share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals3.07Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 59% · Under 41%

Willem II1.34

Borta share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Go Ahead Eagles

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Willem II

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
9
Points from supplied form
13
1.73
Expected goals
1.34
Go Ahead EaglesWillem II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Go Ahead Eagles signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Willem II signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Go Ahead Eagles vunnen 47%,Oavgjort 23%,Willem II vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Över 2.5 59% · Current selection Över