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NLD Nederländerna - Eredivisie · Match ·

FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger35%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger35%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger35% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC GroningenFC Utrecht
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
35% / 30% / 35%MatchresultatHemmaseger35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.3%)Dubbelchans1269.7%1.43
Över 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Båda lagen gör målNej52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.6 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
FC Groningen win35%2.86
Oavgjort30%3.33
FC Utrecht win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Groningen1.18

Hemma share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 41% · Under 59%

FC Utrecht1.16

Borta share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Groningen

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
35%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.18
Expected goals
1.16
FC GroningenFC Utrecht
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Groningen signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Utrecht signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Groningen vunnen 35%,Oavgjort 30%,FC Utrecht vunnen 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Över 2.5 41% · Current selection Under