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NLD Нидерланды - Эредивизи · Матч ·

ПСВ vs Фортуна Ситтард

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score4–15.06 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев83%
Ничья12%
Победа гостей6%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 83% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев83% selection probability
Projected score4–1ПСВФортуна Ситтард
Expected goals5.06Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше88% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
83% / 12% / 6%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фортуна Ситтард win (5.6%)Двойной шанс1X94.4%1.06
Больше 88% · Меньше 12%Goals 2.5Больше88%1.14
Да 65% · Нет 35%Обе забьютДа65%1.54
5.06 total expected goalsТочный счёт4–1
11.3 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.9%Largest probability gapПСВ winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ПСВ win83%1.201.1782.3%+0.7 pp
Ничья12%8.338.0012%0.0 pp
Фортуна Ситтард win6%16.6717.005.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ПСВ3.98

Хозяева share of expected goals 78.7%

Total expected goals5.06Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 88% · Меньше 12%

Фортуна Ситтард1.08

Гости share of expected goals 21.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitДа 65% · Нет 35%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ПСВ

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Фортуна Ситтард

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
83%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
6%
10
Points from supplied form
6
3.98
Expected goals
1.08
ПСВФортуна Ситтард
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ПСВ signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фортуна Ситтард signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

ПСВ vs Фортуна Ситтард FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 4–1 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ПСВ выигрыш 83%,Ничья 12%,Фортуна Ситтард выигрыш 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.06 · ТБ 2.5 88% · Current selection Больше