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NLD Madalmaade Eredivisie · Final ·

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score2–2Ennustus 4–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit83%
Viik12%
Võõrsilvõit6%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 83% selection probability
Prediction Kaotatud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit83% selection probability
Projected score4–1PSVFortuna Sittard
Expected goals5.06Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle88% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
83% / 12% / 6%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Sittard win (5.6%)Topeltvõimalus1X94.4%1.06
Üle 88% · Alla 12%Goals 2.5Üle88%1.14
Jah 65% · Ei 35%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah65%1.54
5.06 total expected goalsTäpne skoor4–1
11.3 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.9%Largest probability gapPSV winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
PSV win83%1.201.1782.3%+0.7 pp
Viik12%8.338.0012%0.0 pp
Fortuna Sittard win6%16.6717.005.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSV3.98

Kodu share of expected goals 78.7%

Total expected goals5.06Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 88% · Alla 12%

Fortuna Sittard1.08

Võõras share of expected goals 21.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJah 65% · Ei 35%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Fortuna Sittard

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punktid6

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
83%
Võit probability excluding draw
6%
10
Points from supplied form
6
3.98
Expected goals
1.08
PSVFortuna Sittard
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSV signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Sittard signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 4–1 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSV võit 83%,Viik 12%,Fortuna Sittard võit 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.06 · Üle 2.5 88% · Current selection Üle