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NLD Netherlands Eredivisie · Final ·

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score2–2Prognose 4–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier83%
Uavgjort12%
Borteseier6%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 83% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier83% selection probability
Projected score4–1PSVFortuna Sittard
Expected goals5.06Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over88% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
83% / 12% / 6%KampresultatHjemmeseier83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Sittard win (5.6%)Dobbel sjanse1X94.4%1.06
Over 88% · Under 12%Goals 2.5Over88%1.14
Ja 65% · Nei 35%Begge lag scorerJa65%1.54
5.06 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat4–1
11.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.9%Largest probability gapPSV winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
PSV win83%1.201.1782.3%+0.7 pp
Uavgjort12%8.338.0012%0.0 pp
Fortuna Sittard win6%16.6717.005.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSV3.98

Hjemme share of expected goals 78.7%

Total expected goals5.06Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 88% · Under 12%

Fortuna Sittard1.08

Borte share of expected goals 21.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nei 35%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Fortuna Sittard

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
83%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
6%
10
Points from supplied form
6
3.98
Expected goals
1.08
PSVFortuna Sittard
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSV signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Sittard signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 4–1 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSV vunnet 83%,Uavgjort 12%,Fortuna Sittard vunnet 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.06 · Over 2.5 88% · Current selection Over