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PSV vs Fortuna Sittard

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score4–15.06 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa83%
Empate12%
Vitória visitante6%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 83% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa83% selection probability
Projected score4–1PSVFortuna Sittard
Expected goals5.06Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima88% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
83% / 12% / 6%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Sittard win (5.6%)Dupla Chance1X94.4%1.06
Acima 88% · Abaixo 12%Goals 2.5Acima88%1.14
Sim 65% · Não 35%Ambas as equipes marcamSim65%1.54
5.06 total expected goalsPlacar exato4–1
11.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.9%Largest probability gapPSV winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
PSV win83%1.201.1782.3%+0.7 pp
Empate12%8.338.0012%0.0 pp
Fortuna Sittard win6%16.6717.005.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSV3.98

Mandante share of expected goals 78.7%

Total expected goals5.06Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 88% · Abaixo 12%

Fortuna Sittard1.08

Visitante share of expected goals 21.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitSim 65% · Não 35%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Fortuna Sittard

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
83%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
6%
10
Points from supplied form
6
3.98
Expected goals
1.08
PSVFortuna Sittard
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSV signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Sittard signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 4–1 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSV ganhou 83%,Empate 12%,Fortuna Sittard ganhou 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.06 · Acima 2.5 88% · Current selection Acima