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NLD Países Bajos - Eredivisie · Final ·

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–2Pronóstico 4–1
Visitante form
Victoria local83%
Empate12%
Victoria visitante6%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 83% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local83% selection probability
Projected score4–1PSVFortuna Sittard
Expected goals5.06Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de88% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
83% / 12% / 6%Resultado del partidoVictoria local83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Sittard win (5.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X94.4%1.06
Más de 88% · Menos de 12%Goals 2.5Más de88%1.14
Sí 65% · No 35%Ambos equipos marcan65%1.54
5.06 total expected goalsMarcador exacto4–1
11.3 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.9%Largest probability gapPSV winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
PSV win83%1.201.1782.3%+0.7 pp
Empate12%8.338.0012%0.0 pp
Fortuna Sittard win6%16.6717.005.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSV3.98

Local share of expected goals 78.7%

Total expected goals5.06Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 88% · Menos de 12%

Fortuna Sittard1.08

Visitante share of expected goals 21.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS split 65% · No 35%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Fortuna Sittard

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
83%
Ganado probability excluding draw
6%
10
Points from supplied form
6
3.98
Expected goals
1.08
PSVFortuna Sittard
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSV signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Sittard signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 4–1 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSV ganada 83%,Empate 12%,Fortuna Sittard ganada 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.06 · Más de 2.5 88% · Current selection Más de