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NLD Нидерландия - Ередивизия · Final ·

ПСВ vs Фортуна Ситард

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–2Прогноза 4–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина83%
Равен12%
Победа за госта6%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 83% selection probability
Prediction Непознат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина83% selection probability
Projected score4–1ПСВФортуна Ситард
Expected goals5.06Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над88% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
83% / 12% / 6%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фортуна Ситард win (5.6%)Двоен шанс1X94.4%1.06
Над 88% · Под 12%Goals 2.5Над88%1.14
Да 65% · Не 35%И двата отбора да отбележатДа65%1.54
5.06 total expected goalsТочен резултат4–1
11.3 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.9%Largest probability gapПСВ winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ПСВ win83%1.201.1782.3%+0.7 pp
Равен12%8.338.0012%0.0 pp
Фортуна Ситард win6%16.6717.005.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ПСВ3.98

Домакин share of expected goals 78.7%

Total expected goals5.06Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 88% · Под 12%

Фортуна Ситард1.08

Гост share of expected goals 21.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitДа 65% · Не 35%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ПСВ

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Фортуна Ситард

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
83%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
6%
10
Points from supplied form
6
3.98
Expected goals
1.08
ПСВФортуна Ситард
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ПСВ signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фортуна Ситард signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

ПСВ vs Фортуна Ситард FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 4–1 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ПСВ печеливш 83%,Равен 12%,Фортуна Ситард печеливш 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.06 · Над 2.5 88% · Current selection Над