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NLD Holandia - Eredivisie · Mecz ·

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score4–15.06 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy83%
Remis12%
Wygrana gości6%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 83% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy83% selection probability
Projected score4–1PSVFortuna Sittard
Expected goals5.06Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej88% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
83% / 12% / 6%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy83%1.20
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Sittard win (5.6%)Podwójna szansa1X94.4%1.06
Powyżej 88% · Poniżej 12%Goals 2.5Powyżej88%1.14
Tak 65% · Nie 35%Obie drużyny strzeląTak65%1.54
5.06 total expected goalsDokładny wynik4–1
11.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin3.9%Largest probability gapPSV winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
PSV win83%1.201.1782.3%+0.7 pp
Remis12%8.338.0012%0.0 pp
Fortuna Sittard win6%16.6717.005.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSV3.98

Gospodarze share of expected goals 78.7%

Total expected goals5.06Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 88% · Poniżej 12%

Fortuna Sittard1.08

Goście share of expected goals 21.3%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitTak 65% · Nie 35%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Fortuna Sittard

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
83%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
6%
10
Points from supplied form
6
3.98
Expected goals
1.08
PSVFortuna Sittard
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSV signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Sittard signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk17% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

PSV vs Fortuna Sittard FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 4–1 · 83% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSV wygrana 83%,Remis 12%,Fortuna Sittard wygrana 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.06 · Powyżej 2.5 88% · Current selection Powyżej