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NOR Norge - Div 3 - Grupp 1 · Match ·

Baerum vs KFUM 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score4–25.45 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger73%
Oavgjort14%
Bortaseger13%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger73% selection probability
Projected score4–2BaerumKFUM 2
Expected goals5.45Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över91% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
73% / 14% / 13%MatchresultatHemmaseger73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KFUM 2 win (13%)Dubbelchans1X87%1.15
Över 91% · Under 9%Goals 2.5Över91%1.10
Ja 82% · Nej 18%Båda lagen gör målJa82%1.22
5.45 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat4–2
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBaerum winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baerum win73%1.371.2273.4%-0.4 pp
Oavgjort14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp
KFUM 2 win13%7.697.0012.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baerum3.63

Hemma share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals5.45Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 91% · Under 9%

KFUM 21.82

Borta share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitJa 82% · Nej 18%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Baerum

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

KFUM 2

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
7
3.63
Expected goals
1.82
BaerumKFUM 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baerum signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KFUM 2 signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Baerum vs KFUM 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 4–2 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baerum vunnen 73%,Oavgjort 14%,KFUM 2 vunnen 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.45 · Över 2.5 91% · Current selection Över