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NOR Norwegia - Division 3 - Grupa 1 · Mecz ·

Baerum vs KFUM 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score4–25.45 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy73%
Remis14%
Wygrana gości13%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy73% selection probability
Projected score4–2BaerumKFUM 2
Expected goals5.45Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej91% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
73% / 14% / 13%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KFUM 2 win (13%)Podwójna szansa1X87%1.15
Powyżej 91% · Poniżej 9%Goals 2.5Powyżej91%1.10
Tak 82% · Nie 18%Obie drużyny strzeląTak82%1.22
5.45 total expected goalsDokładny wynik4–2
9.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBaerum winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baerum win73%1.371.2273.4%-0.4 pp
Remis14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp
KFUM 2 win13%7.697.0012.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baerum3.63

Gospodarze share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals5.45Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 91% · Poniżej 9%

KFUM 21.82

Goście share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitTak 82% · Nie 18%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Baerum

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

KFUM 2

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
7
3.63
Expected goals
1.82
BaerumKFUM 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baerum signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KFUM 2 signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Baerum vs KFUM 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 4–2 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baerum wygrana 73%,Remis 14%,KFUM 2 wygrana 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.45 · Powyżej 2.5 91% · Current selection Powyżej