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NOR Norvège - Division 3 - Groupe 1 · Match ·

Baerum vs KFUM 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score4–25.45 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile73%
Nul14%
Victoire à l’extérieur13%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile73% selection probability
Projected score4–2BaerumKFUM 2
Expected goals5.45Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de91% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
73% / 14% / 13%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KFUM 2 win (13%)Double chance1X87%1.15
Plus de 91% · Moins de 9%Goals 2.5Plus de91%1.10
Oui 82% · Non 18%Les deux équipes marquentOui82%1.22
5.45 total expected goalsScore exact4–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBaerum winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baerum win73%1.371.2273.4%-0.4 pp
Nul14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp
KFUM 2 win13%7.697.0012.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baerum3.63

Domicile share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals5.45Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 91% · Moins de 9%

KFUM 21.82

Extérieur share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitOui 82% · Non 18%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Baerum

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

KFUM 2

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Gagné probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
7
3.63
Expected goals
1.82
BaerumKFUM 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baerum signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KFUM 2 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Baerum vs KFUM 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 4–2 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baerum victoire 73%,Nul 14%,KFUM 2 victoire 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.45 · Plus de 2.5 91% · Current selection Plus de