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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NOR Noorwegen - 3. divisjon - Groep 1 · Wedstrijd ·

Baerum vs KFUM 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score4–25.45 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst73%
Gelijkspel14%
Uitwinst13%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst73% selection probability
Projected score4–2BaerumKFUM 2
Expected goals5.45Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven91% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
73% / 14% / 13%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KFUM 2 win (13%)Dubbele Kans1X87%1.15
Boven 91% · Onder 9%Goals 2.5Boven91%1.10
Ja 82% · Nee 18%Beide teams scorenJa82%1.22
5.45 total expected goalsExacte score4–2
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBaerum winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baerum win73%1.371.2273.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp
KFUM 2 win13%7.697.0012.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baerum3.63

Thuis share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals5.45Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 91% · Onder 9%

KFUM 21.82

Uit share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitJa 82% · Nee 18%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Baerum

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

KFUM 2

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
7
3.63
Expected goals
1.82
BaerumKFUM 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baerum signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KFUM 2 signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Baerum vs KFUM 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 4–2 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baerum gewonnen 73%,Gelijkspel 14%,KFUM 2 gewonnen 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.45 · Boven 2.5 91% · Current selection Boven