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NOR Noruega - 3ª División - Grupo 1 · Partido ·

Baerum vs KFUM 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score4–25.45 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local73%
Empate14%
Victoria visitante13%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local73% selection probability
Projected score4–2BaerumKFUM 2
Expected goals5.45Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de91% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
73% / 14% / 13%Resultado del partidoVictoria local73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KFUM 2 win (13%)Doble Oportunidad1X87%1.15
Más de 91% · Menos de 9%Goals 2.5Más de91%1.10
Sí 82% · No 18%Ambos equipos marcan82%1.22
5.45 total expected goalsMarcador exacto4–2
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBaerum winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baerum win73%1.371.2273.4%-0.4 pp
Empate14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp
KFUM 2 win13%7.697.0012.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baerum3.63

Local share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals5.45Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 91% · Menos de 9%

KFUM 21.82

Visitante share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score4–2BTTS split 82% · No 18%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Baerum

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

KFUM 2

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Ganado probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
7
3.63
Expected goals
1.82
BaerumKFUM 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baerum signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KFUM 2 signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Baerum vs KFUM 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 4–2 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baerum ganada 73%,Empate 14%,KFUM 2 ganada 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.45 · Más de 2.5 91% · Current selection Más de