MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
NOR Norway Division 3 Group 1 · Fixture ·

Baerum vs KFUM 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score4–25.45 expected goals
Away form
Home win73%
Draw14%
Away win13%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win73% selection probability
Projected score4–2BaerumKFUM 2
Expected goals5.45Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over91% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
73% / 14% / 13%Match resultHome win73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KFUM 2 win (13%)Double chance1X87%1.15
Over 91% · Under 9%Goals 2.5Over91%1.10
Yes 82% · No 18%Both teams scoreYes82%1.22
5.45 total expected goalsCorrect score4–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBaerum winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baerum win73%1.371.2273.4%-0.4 pp
Draw14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp
KFUM 2 win13%7.697.0012.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baerum3.63

Home share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals5.45Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 91% · Under 9%

KFUM 21.82

Away share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitYes 82% · No 18%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Baerum

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

KFUM 2

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Win probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
7
3.63
Expected goals
1.82
BaerumKFUM 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baerum signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KFUM 2 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Baerum vs KFUM 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–2 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baerum win 73%,Draw 14%,KFUM 2 win 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.45 · Over 2.5 91% · Current selection Over