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NOR Norvegia - Divizia 3 - Grupa 1 · Meci ·

Baerum vs KFUM 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score4–25.45 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde73%
Egal14%
Victorie oaspeți13%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde73% selection probability
Projected score4–2BaerumKFUM 2
Expected goals5.45Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste91% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
73% / 14% / 13%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KFUM 2 win (13%)Șansă dublă1X87%1.15
Peste 91% · Sub 9%Goals 2.5Peste91%1.10
Da 82% · Nu 18%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa82%1.22
5.45 total expected goalsScor corect4–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBaerum winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baerum win73%1.371.2273.4%-0.4 pp
Egal14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp
KFUM 2 win13%7.697.0012.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baerum3.63

Gazde share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals5.45Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 91% · Sub 9%

KFUM 21.82

Oaspeți share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitDa 82% · Nu 18%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Baerum

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

KFUM 2

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Câștig probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
7
3.63
Expected goals
1.82
BaerumKFUM 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baerum signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KFUM 2 signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Baerum vs KFUM 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 4–2 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baerum câștig 73%,Egal 14%,KFUM 2 câștig 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.45 · Peste 2.5 91% · Current selection Peste