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NOR Noruega - 3.ª Divisão - Grupo 1 · Partida ·

Baerum vs KFUM 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score4–25.45 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa73%
Empate14%
Vitória visitante13%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa73% selection probability
Projected score4–2BaerumKFUM 2
Expected goals5.45Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima91% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
73% / 14% / 13%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KFUM 2 win (13%)Dupla Chance1X87%1.15
Acima 91% · Abaixo 9%Goals 2.5Acima91%1.10
Sim 82% · Não 18%Ambas as equipes marcamSim82%1.22
5.45 total expected goalsPlacar exato4–2
9.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBaerum winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baerum win73%1.371.2273.4%-0.4 pp
Empate14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp
KFUM 2 win13%7.697.0012.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baerum3.63

Mandante share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals5.45Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 91% · Abaixo 9%

KFUM 21.82

Visitante share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitSim 82% · Não 18%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Baerum

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

KFUM 2

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
7
3.63
Expected goals
1.82
BaerumKFUM 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baerum signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KFUM 2 signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Baerum vs KFUM 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 4–2 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baerum ganhou 73%,Empate 14%,KFUM 2 ganhou 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.45 · Acima 2.5 91% · Current selection Acima