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NOR Norge - 3. divisjon avd 1 · Kamp ·

Bærum vs KFUM 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score4–25.45 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier73%
Uavgjort14%
Borteseier13%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier73% selection probability
Projected score4–2BærumKFUM 2
Expected goals5.45Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over91% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
73% / 14% / 13%KampresultatHjemmeseier73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KFUM 2 win (13%)Dobbel sjanse1X87%1.15
Over 91% · Under 9%Goals 2.5Over91%1.10
Ja 82% · Nei 18%Begge lag scorerJa82%1.22
5.45 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat4–2
9.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBærum winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bærum win73%1.371.2273.4%-0.4 pp
Uavgjort14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp
KFUM 2 win13%7.697.0012.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bærum3.63

Hjemme share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals5.45Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 91% · Under 9%

KFUM 21.82

Borte share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitJa 82% · Nei 18%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Bærum

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

KFUM 2

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
7
3.63
Expected goals
1.82
BærumKFUM 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bærum signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KFUM 2 signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Bærum vs KFUM 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 4–2 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bærum vunnet 73%,Uavgjort 14%,KFUM 2 vunnet 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.45 · Over 2.5 91% · Current selection Over