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NOR Norway Division 3 Group 1 · Maç ·

Baerum vs KFUM 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score4–25.45 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır73%
Beraberlik14%
Deplasman kazanır13%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır73% selection probability
Projected score4–2BaerumKFUM 2
Expected goals5.45Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst91% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
73% / 14% / 13%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KFUM 2 win (13%)Çifte Şans1X87%1.15
Üst 91% · Alt 9%Goals 2.5Üst91%1.10
Evet 82% · Hayır 18%Karşılıklı gol varEvet82%1.22
5.45 total expected goalsDoğru skor4–2
9.4 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapBaerum winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baerum win73%1.371.2273.4%-0.4 pp
Beraberlik14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp
KFUM 2 win13%7.697.0012.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baerum3.63

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 66.6%

Total expected goals5.45Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 91% · Alt 9%

KFUM 21.82

Deplasman share of expected goals 33.4%

Projected score4–2BTTS splitEvet 82% · Hayır 18%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Baerum

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

KFUM 2

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
13%
10
Points from supplied form
7
3.63
Expected goals
1.82
BaerumKFUM 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baerum signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KFUM 2 signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Baerum vs KFUM 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 4–2 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baerum kazanç 73%,Beraberlik 14%,KFUM 2 kazanç 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.45 · 2.5 Üst 91% · Current selection Üst