Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
67% / 21% / 12%Match resultHome win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Rayo Vallecano win (12.4%)Double chance1X87.6%1.14
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
3.18 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Barcelona win67%1.49
Draw21%4.76
Rayo Vallecano win12%8.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 80.5%
Total expected goals3.18Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%
Away share of expected goals 19.5%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchBarcelona
WLWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchRayo Vallecano
DLWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
67%
Win probability excluding draw
12%9
Points from supplied form
72.56
Expected goals
0.62BarcelonaRayo Vallecano
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Barcelona win 67%，Draw 21%，Rayo Vallecano win 12%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.18 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over。