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ESP Ισπανία - La Liga · Αγώνας ·

Μπαρτσελόνα vs Ράγιο Βαγεκάνο

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score3–13.18 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου67%
Ισοπαλία21%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου12%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου67% selection probability
Projected score3–1ΜπαρτσελόναΡάγιο Βαγεκάνο
Expected goals3.18Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω62% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
67% / 21% / 12%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ράγιο Βαγεκάνο win (12.4%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X87.6%1.14
Άνω 62% · Κάτω 38%Goals 2.5Άνω62%1.61
Ναι 43% · Όχι 57%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι57%1.75
3.18 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ3–1
10.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μπαρτσελόνα win67%1.49
Ισοπαλία21%4.76
Ράγιο Βαγεκάνο win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μπαρτσελόνα2.56

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 80.5%

Total expected goals3.18Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 62% · Κάτω 38%

Ράγιο Βαγεκάνο0.62

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 19.5%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitΝαι 43% · Όχι 57%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μπαρτσελόνα

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ράγιο Βαγεκάνο

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
12%
9
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
0.62
ΜπαρτσελόναΡάγιο Βαγεκάνο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μπαρτσελόνα signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ράγιο Βαγεκάνο signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Μπαρτσελόνα vs Ράγιο Βαγεκάνο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μπαρτσελόνα νίκη 67%,Ισοπαλία 21%,Ράγιο Βαγεκάνο νίκη 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Άνω 2.5 62% · Current selection Άνω