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ESP Ισπανία - La Liga · Αγώνας ·

Οσασούνα vs Χετάφε

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.58 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου39%
Ισοπαλία35%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΟσασούναΧετάφε
Expected goals1.58Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω79% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
39% / 35% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Χετάφε win (25.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X74.3%1.35
Άνω 21% · Κάτω 79%Goals 2.5Κάτω79%1.27
Ναι 29% · Όχι 71%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι71%1.41
1.58 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Οσασούνα win39%2.56
Ισοπαλία35%2.86
Χετάφε win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Οσασούνα0.96

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals1.58Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 21% · Κάτω 79%

Χετάφε0.62

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 29% · Όχι 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Οσασούνα

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Χετάφε

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
9
0.96
Expected goals
0.62
ΟσασούναΧετάφε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Οσασούνα signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Χετάφε signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Οσασούνα vs Χετάφε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Οσασούνα νίκη 39%,Ισοπαλία 35%,Χετάφε νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.58 · Άνω 2.5 21% · Current selection Κάτω