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ESP Ισπανία - La Liga · Αγώνας ·

Θέλτα vs Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου54%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου21%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου54% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΘέλταΑθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο
Expected goals3.11Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω60% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
54% / 25% / 21%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο win (21.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X78.8%1.27
Άνω 60% · Κάτω 40%Goals 2.5Άνω60%1.67
Ναι 55% · Όχι 45%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι55%1.82
3.11 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.0 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Θέλτα win54%1.85
Ισοπαλία25%4.00
Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Θέλτα2.13

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals3.11Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 60% · Κάτω 40%

Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο0.98

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 55% · Όχι 45%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Θέλτα

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.13
Expected goals
0.98
ΘέλταΑθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Θέλτα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Θέλτα vs Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Θέλτα νίκη 54%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Αθλέτικ Μπιλμπάο νίκη 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Άνω 2.5 60% · Current selection Άνω