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ESP 西班牙甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

切爾達 vs 畢爾包體育會

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝54%
25%
客勝21%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝54% selection probability
Projected score2–1切爾達畢爾包體育會
Expected goals3.11初盤 match profile
Goals 2.560% for the selected side
雙方進球55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
54% / 25% / 21%比賽結果主勝54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 畢爾包體育會 win (21.2%)雙重機會1X78.8%1.27
大 60% · 小 40%Goals 2.560%1.67
是 55% · 否 45%雙方進球55%1.82
3.11 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.0 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
切爾達 win54%1.85
25%4.00
畢爾包體育會 win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

切爾達2.13

主隊 share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals3.11初盤

Dedicated goals model: 60% · 40%

畢爾包體育會0.98

客隊 share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 55% · 45%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

切爾達

1.80pts / match
5Wins2Drawn3Losses0積分9

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

畢爾包體育會

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
贏 probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.13
Expected goals
0.98
切爾達畢爾包體育會
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01切爾達 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02畢爾包體育會 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

切爾達 vs 畢爾包體育會 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

切爾達 54%, 25%,畢爾包體育會 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · 大2.5 60% · Current selection