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ESP 西班牙甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

皇家蘇斯達 vs 西班牙人

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝48%
26%
客勝26%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝48% selection probability
Projected score2–1皇家蘇斯達西班牙人
Expected goals3.11初盤 match profile
Goals 2.560% for the selected side
雙方進球59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
48% / 26% / 26%比賽結果主勝48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 西班牙人 win (25.6%)雙重機會1X74.4%1.34
大 60% · 小 40%Goals 2.560%1.67
是 59% · 否 41%雙方進球59%1.69
3.11 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.5 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
皇家蘇斯達 win48%2.08
26%3.85
西班牙人 win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

皇家蘇斯達1.95

主隊 share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals3.11初盤

Dedicated goals model: 60% · 40%

西班牙人1.16

客隊 share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · 41%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

皇家蘇斯達

0.60pts / match
5Wins0Drawn3Losses2積分3

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

西班牙人

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
贏 probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.95
Expected goals
1.16
皇家蘇斯達西班牙人
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01皇家蘇斯達 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02西班牙人 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

皇家蘇斯達 vs 西班牙人 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

皇家蘇斯達 48%, 26%,西班牙人 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · 大2.5 60% · Current selection