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ESP Spagna - La Liga · Partita ·

Real Sociedad vs Espanyol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa48%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite26%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real SociedadEspanyol
Expected goals3.11Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra60% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
48% / 26% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Espanyol win (25.6%)Doppia Chance1X74.4%1.34
Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%Goals 2.5Sopra60%1.67
Sì 59% · No 41%Entrambe le squadre segnano59%1.69
3.11 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Real Sociedad win48%2.08
Pareggio26%3.85
Espanyol win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Sociedad1.95

Casa share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals3.11Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%

Espanyol1.16

Trasferta share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Espanyol

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.95
Expected goals
1.16
Real SociedadEspanyol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Sociedad signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Espanyol signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Real Sociedad vs Espanyol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Sociedad vinta 48%,Pareggio 26%,Espanyol vinta 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Sopra 2.5 60% · Current selection Sopra