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ESP España - La Liga · Partido ·

Real Sociedad vs Espanyol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local48%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante26%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real SociedadEspanyol
Expected goals3.11Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
48% / 26% / 26%Resultado del partidoVictoria local48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Espanyol win (25.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X74.4%1.34
Más de 60% · Menos de 40%Goals 2.5Más de60%1.67
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcan59%1.69
3.11 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Real Sociedad win48%2.08
Empate26%3.85
Espanyol win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Sociedad1.95

Local share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals3.11Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 60% · Menos de 40%

Espanyol1.16

Visitante share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Real Sociedad

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Espanyol

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Ganado probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.95
Expected goals
1.16
Real SociedadEspanyol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Sociedad signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Espanyol signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Real Sociedad vs Espanyol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Sociedad ganada 48%,Empate 26%,Espanyol ganada 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Más de 2.5 60% · Current selection Más de