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ESP Ισπανία - La Liga · Αγώνας ·

Ρεάλ Σοσιεδάδ vs Espanyol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου48%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ρεάλ ΣοσιεδάδEspanyol
Expected goals3.11Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω60% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
48% / 26% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Espanyol win (25.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X74.4%1.34
Άνω 60% · Κάτω 40%Goals 2.5Άνω60%1.67
Ναι 59% · Όχι 41%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι59%1.69
3.11 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ρεάλ Σοσιεδάδ win48%2.08
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Espanyol win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ρεάλ Σοσιεδάδ1.95

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals3.11Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 60% · Κάτω 40%

Espanyol1.16

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 59% · Όχι 41%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ρεάλ Σοσιεδάδ

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Espanyol

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.95
Expected goals
1.16
Ρεάλ ΣοσιεδάδEspanyol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ρεάλ Σοσιεδάδ signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Espanyol signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Ρεάλ Σοσιεδάδ vs Espanyol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ρεάλ Σοσιεδάδ νίκη 48%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Espanyol νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Άνω 2.5 60% · Current selection Άνω