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ESP Ισπανία - La Liga · Αγώνας ·

Αλαβές vs Βιγιαρεάλ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–23.15 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου31%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου42%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου42% selection probability
Projected score1–2ΑλαβέςΒιγιαρεάλ
Expected goals3.15Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω61% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
31% / 27% / 42%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1273.1%1.37
Άνω 61% · Κάτω 39%Goals 2.5Άνω61%1.64
Ναι 63% · Όχι 37%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι63%1.59
3.15 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
9.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapΑλαβές winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Αλαβές win31%3.233.1030.6%+0.4 pp
Ισοπαλία27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
Βιγιαρεάλ win42%2.382.2542.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Αλαβές1.45

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 46%

Total expected goals3.15Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 61% · Κάτω 39%

Βιγιαρεάλ1.70

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 54%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 63% · Όχι 37%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Αλαβές

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Βιγιαρεάλ

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
42%
11
Points from supplied form
8
1.45
Expected goals
1.70
ΑλαβέςΒιγιαρεάλ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Αλαβές signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Βιγιαρεάλ signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Αλαβές vs Βιγιαρεάλ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Αλαβές νίκη 31%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Βιγιαρεάλ νίκη 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Άνω 2.5 61% · Current selection Άνω