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CDアラベス vs ビジャレアル

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–23.15 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利31%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利42%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利42% selection probability
Projected score1–2CDアラベスビジャレアル
Expected goals3.15始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー61% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
31% / 27% / 42%試合結果アウェイ勝利42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)ダブルチャンス1273.1%1.37
オーバー 61% · アンダー 39%Goals 2.5オーバー61%1.64
はい 63% · いいえ 37%両チーム得点はい63%1.59
3.15 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapCDアラベス winDifference+0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CDアラベス win31%3.233.1030.6%+0.4 pp
引き分け27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
ビジャレアル win42%2.382.2542.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CDアラベス1.45

ホーム share of expected goals 46%

Total expected goals3.15始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 61% · アンダー 39%

ビジャレアル1.70

アウェイ share of expected goals 54%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 63% · いいえ 37%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

CDアラベス

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ビジャレアル

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
勝ち probability excluding draw
42%
11
Points from supplied form
8
1.45
Expected goals
1.70
CDアラベスビジャレアル
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CDアラベス signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ビジャレアル signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CDアラベス vs ビジャレアル FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CDアラベス 勝ち 31%,引き分け 27%,ビジャレアル 勝ち 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · オーバー 2.5 61% · Current selection オーバー