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セビージャ vs アトレティコ・マドリード

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利34%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利38%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–2セビージャアトレティコ・マドリード
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
34% / 28% / 38%試合結果アウェイ勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)ダブルチャンス1272.1%1.39
オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%Goals 2.5オーバー56%1.79
はい 59% · いいえ 41%両チーム得点はい59%1.69
2.92 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
セビージャ win34%2.94
引き分け28%3.57
アトレティコ・マドリード win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

セビージャ1.40

ホーム share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%

アトレティコ・マドリード1.52

アウェイ share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 59% · いいえ 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

セビージャ

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アトレティコ・マドリード

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
勝ち probability excluding draw
38%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.40
Expected goals
1.52
セビージャアトレティコ・マドリード
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01セビージャ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アトレティコ・マドリード signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

セビージャ vs アトレティコ・マドリード FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

セビージャ 勝ち 34%,引き分け 28%,アトレティコ・マドリード 勝ち 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · オーバー 2.5 56% · Current selection オーバー