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ESP Испания - Ла Лига · Матч ·

Севилья vs Атлетико Мадрид

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев34%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей38%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей38% selection probability
Projected score1–2СевильяАтлетико Мадрид
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
34% / 28% / 38%Исход матчаПобеда гостей38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Двойной шанс1272.1%1.39
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
2.92 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Севилья win34%2.94
Ничья28%3.57
Атлетико Мадрид win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Севилья1.40

Хозяева share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

Атлетико Мадрид1.52

Гости share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Севилья

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Атлетико Мадрид

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
38%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.40
Expected goals
1.52
СевильяАтлетико Мадрид
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Севилья signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Атлетико Мадрид signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Севилья vs Атлетико Мадрид FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Севилья выигрыш 34%,Ничья 28%,Атлетико Мадрид выигрыш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше