MatchFormula Найти матч
Menu
UTC+8
Часовой поясAsia/Shanghai
Русский
ESP Испания - Ла Лига · Матч ·

Алавес vs Вильярреал

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–23.15 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев31%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей42%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей42% selection probability
Projected score1–2АлавесВильярреал
Expected goals3.15Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
31% / 27% / 42%Исход матчаПобеда гостей42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Двойной шанс1273.1%1.37
Больше 61% · Меньше 39%Goals 2.5Больше61%1.64
Да 63% · Нет 37%Обе забьютДа63%1.59
3.15 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapАлавес winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Алавес win31%3.233.1030.6%+0.4 pp
Ничья27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
Вильярреал win42%2.382.2542.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алавес1.45

Хозяева share of expected goals 46%

Total expected goals3.15Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 61% · Меньше 39%

Вильярреал1.70

Гости share of expected goals 54%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 63% · Нет 37%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Алавес

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Вильярреал

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
42%
11
Points from supplied form
8
1.45
Expected goals
1.70
АлавесВильярреал
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алавес signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Вильярреал signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Алавес vs Вильярреал FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алавес выигрыш 31%,Ничья 27%,Вильярреал выигрыш 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · ТБ 2.5 61% · Current selection Больше