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ESP Испания - Ла Лига · Матч ·

Реал Сосьедад vs Espanyol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев48%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Реал СосьедадEspanyol
Expected goals3.11Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
48% / 26% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Espanyol win (25.6%)Двойной шанс1X74.4%1.34
Больше 60% · Меньше 40%Goals 2.5Больше60%1.67
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
3.11 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Реал Сосьедад win48%2.08
Ничья26%3.85
Espanyol win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Реал Сосьедад1.95

Хозяева share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals3.11Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 60% · Меньше 40%

Espanyol1.16

Гости share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Реал Сосьедад

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Espanyol

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.95
Expected goals
1.16
Реал СосьедадEspanyol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Реал Сосьедад signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Espanyol signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Реал Сосьедад vs Espanyol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Реал Сосьедад выигрыш 48%,Ничья 26%,Espanyol выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · ТБ 2.5 60% · Current selection Больше