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CYP Кипр - Дивизион 1 · Матч ·

АЕК Ларнака vs Апоэл Никосия

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.55 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев48%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей23%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев48% selection probability
Projected score2–1АЕК ЛарнакаАпоэл Никосия
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
48% / 28% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Апоэл Никосия win (23.5%)Двойной шанс1X76.5%1.31
Больше 47% · Меньше 53%Goals 2.5Меньше53%1.89
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
АЕК Ларнака win48%2.08
Ничья28%3.57
Апоэл Никосия win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

АЕК Ларнака1.67

Хозяева share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 47% · Меньше 53%

Апоэл Никосия0.88

Гости share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

АЕК Ларнака

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Апоэл Никосия

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.67
Expected goals
0.88
АЕК ЛарнакаАпоэл Никосия
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01АЕК Ларнака signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Апоэл Никосия signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

АЕК Ларнака vs Апоэл Никосия FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

АЕК Ларнака выигрыш 48%,Ничья 28%,Апоэл Никосия выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · ТБ 2.5 47% · Current selection Меньше