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CYP Küprose 1. divisjon · Mäng ·

AEK Larnaca vs APOEL Nikosia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.55 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit48%
Viik28%
Võõrsilvõit23%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit48% selection probability
Projected score2–1AEK LarnacaAPOEL Nikosia
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla53% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
48% / 28% / 23%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes APOEL Nikosia win (23.5%)Topeltvõimalus1X76.5%1.31
Üle 47% · Alla 53%Goals 2.5Alla53%1.89
Jah 48% · Ei 52%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.7 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
AEK Larnaca win48%2.08
Viik28%3.57
APOEL Nikosia win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AEK Larnaca1.67

Kodu share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 47% · Alla 53%

APOEL Nikosia0.88

Võõras share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 48% · Ei 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

AEK Larnaca

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punktid6

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

APOEL Nikosia

1.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punktid5

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Võit probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.67
Expected goals
0.88
AEK LarnacaAPOEL Nikosia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AEK Larnaca signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02APOEL Nikosia signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AEK Larnaca vs APOEL Nikosia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AEK Larnaca võit 48%,Viik 28%,APOEL Nikosia võit 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Üle 2.5 47% · Current selection Alla